You can wager on war, elections, awards shows, reality TV, scientific progress, and—in the case of writer Carrie Sun—your own ...

Our novel artificial intelligence model can predict extreme storm surges with high accuracy, including under future climate ...

Data science and machine learning algorithms can help us form probabilistic forecasts of things like sporting events.

Prediction market watchdogs may struggle to police betting on the U.S. midterm elections, with thousands of races offering ...

To our knowledge, this study is the first to apply deep learning models that can, beyond diagnosis, identify molecular subtypes and predict outcomes in a single brain tumour entity (meningioma) using ...

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market, today announced the launch of the first prediction markets tied to private company performance and milestones. These new ...

Abstract: Reliable estimation of the time-varying covariance matrix of asset returns is indispensable for portfolio construction, risk budgeting, and automated advisory services. Conventional ...

The Cavaliers have too many options, including a much stronger bench. Cleveland’s reserves made a massive impact in Game 1, contributing 40 points. Tonight’s tilt will be more competitive than the ...

Detroit enters Game 1 as a clear favorite, but prediction markets show just how wide the gap is. We break down the win probabilities and where they line up with the betting market. Game 1 between the ...

Without Embiid, Philly’s offensive rating dipped from 118.5 to 112.9, good for eighth-worst. Philly will have trouble scoring, and I expect Boston to cruise. You're certainly not limited to the main ...

Game 1 between the Orlando Magic and Detroit Pistons opens with Detroit laying a significant number — and for good reason. But instead of just looking at the spread, prediction markets show how often ...

Nektar Therapeutics is poised for a key catalyst with upcoming REZPEG 52-week maintenance data in Alopecia Areata (AA) before April’s end. My base case model projects REZPEG will achieve a probability ...