Most investors assume the market is chaotic… unpredictable… impossible to “solve.” But what if that’s not quite true? In ...

Abstract: Traditionally, the uncertainty qualification is utilized with the known probability distribution function (PDF). However, in some scenarios, the PDFs of some uncertain variables are modeled ...

Economist Scott Cunningham showed the Fed how AI agents can replicate studies for $11—and why the same tools could erode the ...

One thing I’ve learned over the years is that markets aren’t as random as they seem. At certain points, specific conditions ...

Detection decisions (red for absence, blue for presence) are based on the disjunctive integration rule (disjunction and negation of disjunction). Confidence decisions (dashed line for not sure, full ...

All respondents are randomly selected from a national registered voter list sourced from Aristotle. The survey employs a probability proportionate to size method, which means the number of respondents ...

A multi-year study of the reliability of published social & behavioral science research has found that only about half of ...

SIMPLY put, it’s not possible to force a win on any slot machine. However, there are several things players can do to ...

This manuscript presents important findings that challenge traditional models of speech processing by demonstrating that theta-gamma phase-amplitude coupling in the auditory cortex is primarily a ...

My colleagues and I have done something unusual: we’ve asked to retract our own paper. What follows is a transparent ...

Small tweaks can make a big difference ...